BMW Championship – Lou Riccio’s Pics and Tiger is a favorite to WIN!
Posted on September 5th, 2018 by Herb Rubenstein
This week the Model predicts something we haven’t seen. For this event, it is predicting Tiger has a great chance of winning, not just doing well, not just in the top ten, but winning. Only Spieth has a higher probability of winning and he hasn’t performed as well as the Model has predicted this year. (That is, the Model has consistently predicted him to be in the top ten each week but he has not performed up to the prediction most weeks.)The Model has accurately predicted Tiger doing well at some events (he’s had a couple of top tens) and predicted when he had no chance (such as at Shinnecock.) But it has never picked him right near the top. He may not be a good FanDuel bet since he costs so much. But he has a real shot at winning, and at any cost, that may be a good bet.
He still has driving problems and recently some putting issues. But this course may just be set up to take advantage of his excellent iron play.
Here are the Model’s top ten picks with their probabilities:
| winner | |
| Spieth, Jordan | 0.0736 |
| Woods, Tiger | 0.0652 |
| Johnson, Dustin | 0.057 |
| Day, Jason | 0.0552 |
| Rahm, Jon | 0.0523 |
| Rose, Justin | 0.0498 |
| Stenson, Henrik | 0.0441 |
| Koepka, Brooks | 0.0425 |
| Thomas, Justin | 0.0415 |
| Fowler, Rickie | 0.0387 |
