Lou Riccio’s – The CJ Cup at Nine Bridges in Korea – Fan Duel Players and Draft King Players – Here it is!
Posted on October 17th, 2018 by Herb Rubenstein
Here are this week’s picks.
As more of the top players return to action after the hectic end of the 2017-18 season, the Model once again tends to focus on the chalk. Thomas, Day, Matsuyama and Koepka lead the field in probability of winning (in that order.) But since they are all “expensive,” they all can’t be in the pick of six. Interestingly it is Koepka who is dropped from the list most often when testing different combinations.Also of interest, the way the Optimization Model picks players, it finds that a combination of 5 yields better results than a pick of six. Rather than having two or three lesser knowns, in some runs, the Model likes 5 stronger players rather than six. In one case Koepka comes back into play. But if you are certain you want six, the following is the list for both a pick of 5 and a pick of six for both Fan Duel and Draft Kings:
Pick 6 Pick 5
Pick 6 Pick 5
Personally, I like the picks of 5. Although I like Cook as a sleeper, for Fan Duel, I’d rather have Koepka and Harman than Kizzire and Putnam, and for Draft Kings, Matsuyama and Leishman rather than Kizzire and Cink. The amount of money left on the table is small in all cases but the total probability of winning is a couple of percentage points above the picks of 6.
Others who have a good chance of finishing high up include Woodland and Oosthuizen as both had strong showings last week, but don’t rule out Snedeker, Moore, and Na.